I am biased on this, as is everyone else in one way or another. I think to win SPOTY (a)they need to compete in a sport, and (b) they need to have a personality. Others will argue that boxing is the pastime of barbarians, back to Orwell. I enjoy darts, I played for my local for years, it is many things but it is not a sport in my view. Golf, cross country squash without the effort. So now we're down to seven.
Tom Daley, skilled, brilliant at his discipline even has a personality. OK two golds at the commonwealths this year but only four other competitions this year accrueing a silver, two fourths and a ninth place. Focusing on Dehli? Probably but hardly setting the world on fire.
Amy Williams. Fifth in the world and an Olympic gold is no mean feat for a Brit in a winter sport. Pulled the big one out of the bag on the day.
David Haye. OK a boxer, without doubt a personality, a world champion at two weights. (Hardly his fault it's not unified)
Graeme Swann. I'm a fan. Wisden cricketer of the year, ECB cricketer of the year Swanny is having a great year. If he wins us the Ashes maybe next year.
Jessica Ennis. Another consumate female performer in the most demanding of sports. Third last year, she's up there but only gold in London will get it for her.
Mark Cavendish. My choice. He has not been the main focus of his team this year but still won in style, more than last year when he was the sole focus of HTCs efforts. Wears his jersey with pride, always backs his team mates. Will get no end of flack from Wiggo if he wins. It will be an eye opener to many how shy he will be when he hasn't got the adrenaline of a 60mph bike sprint coursing through the veins
AP McCoy. Must be the favourite and with good reason. Champion jockey since the 95/96 season, jump jockey of the year every year bar one since 1996. He finally nailed the Grand National this year surely the only unticked box in an outstanding career.
So there we have it, my guess is Clare Balding will no doubt present McCoy's bid and hopefully Hugh Porter or Phil Ligget will argue Cav's case. Fortunately the cycling vote won't be split this year so Cav has as good a chance as anyone.